English Football Review - August, 2019
Launch
August 2019 was the launch of Akka. After vigorous testing and countless adjustments made the last thing to do was release it. Now a month on we have found out numerous things about Akka and we want to share these with you.
Key Takeaways
League 2 = Most Accurate
Less upsets higher pedictability.
Beating the Bookies
We outperformed the bookmakers by 3% as we hit 3% more often than the market suggested.
Going Against the Trend
The usual acca killers could have been avoided if you had used Akka.
Man United vs Crystal Palace - Man United OR Crystal Palace to WIN (85.5%) - Outcome Crystal Palace Win
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough - Bristol City to WIN OR DRAW (79.5%) - Outcome Draw
Derby vs West Brom - DRAW (52.5%) - Outcome Draw
Overall Over 2 Returns Over 2 Count ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate 11.12 46 24% 2.68 61% 37.28% Profit/Loss Stakes ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -12.58 240 -5% 1.80 58% 55.63% Premier League Over 2 Returns Over 2 Count ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -0.96 3 -32% 2.71 33% 36.95% Profit/Loss Stakes ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -5.37 38 -14% 1.58 61% 63.15% Championship Over 2 Returns Over 2 Count ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -1.11 15 -7% 2.70 53% 37.08% Profit/Loss Stakes ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -1.2 72 -2% 1.88 57% 53.30% League One Over 2 Returns Over 2 Count ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -2.34 11 -21% 2.70 36% 37.09% Profit/Loss Stakes ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate -12.65 64 -20% 1.74 55% 57.62% League Two Over 2 Returns Over 2 Count ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate 15.53 19 82% 2.6556 79% 37.66% Profit/Loss Stakes ROI Average Odds Hit Rate Expected Hit Rate 6.64 66 10% 1.89530303030303 62% 52.76%
Table KEY
ROI = Profit / Money Staked
Average Odds = Sum of Odds for Bets / Total Number of Bets
Hit Rate = Accuracy
Expected Hit Rate = 1 – ((Average Odds – 1) / Average Odds)
Stakes = Number of Bets Placed
Over 2 = Number of bets with odds greater than 2 and less than 3
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