English Football Review - August, 2019
Launch
August 2019 was the launch of Akka. After vigorous testing and countless adjustments made the last thing to do was release it. Now a month on we have found out numerous things about Akka and we want to share these with you.
Key Takeaways
League 2 = Most Accurate
Less upsets higher pedictability.
Beating the Bookies
We outperformed the bookmakers by 3% as we hit 3% more often than the market suggested.
Going Against the Trend
The usual acca killers could have been avoided if you had used Akka.
Man United vs Crystal Palace - Man United OR Crystal Palace to WIN (85.5%) - Outcome Crystal Palace Win
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough - Bristol City to WIN OR DRAW (79.5%) - Outcome Draw
Derby vs West Brom - DRAW (52.5%) - Outcome Draw
| Overall | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 Returns | Over 2 Count | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| 11.12 | 46 | 24% | 2.68 | 61% | 37.28% |
| Profit/Loss | Stakes | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -12.58 | 240 | -5% | 1.80 | 58% | 55.63% |
| Premier League | |||||
| Over 2 Returns | Over 2 Count | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -0.96 | 3 | -32% | 2.71 | 33% | 36.95% |
| Profit/Loss | Stakes | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -5.37 | 38 | -14% | 1.58 | 61% | 63.15% |
| Championship | |||||
| Over 2 Returns | Over 2 Count | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -1.11 | 15 | -7% | 2.70 | 53% | 37.08% |
| Profit/Loss | Stakes | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -1.2 | 72 | -2% | 1.88 | 57% | 53.30% |
| League One | |||||
| Over 2 Returns | Over 2 Count | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -2.34 | 11 | -21% | 2.70 | 36% | 37.09% |
| Profit/Loss | Stakes | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| -12.65 | 64 | -20% | 1.74 | 55% | 57.62% |
| League Two | |||||
| Over 2 Returns | Over 2 Count | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| 15.53 | 19 | 82% | 2.6556 | 79% | 37.66% |
| Profit/Loss | Stakes | ROI | Average Odds | Hit Rate | Expected Hit Rate |
| 6.64 | 66 | 10% | 1.89530303030303 | 62% | 52.76% |
Table KEY
ROI = Profit / Money Staked
Average Odds = Sum of Odds for Bets / Total Number of Bets
Hit Rate = Accuracy
Expected Hit Rate = 1 – ((Average Odds – 1) / Average Odds)
Stakes = Number of Bets Placed
Over 2 = Number of bets with odds greater than 2 and less than 3
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